By Mark Heschmeyer, CoStar News ,January 9, 2025 | 6:49 P.M.
The commercial real estate market is facing a significant wave of loan maturities, with $8.6 billion in commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) loans due this month alone. This surge is expected to peak in October 2025, with nearly double the January amount coming due. While lenders have been lenient in granting extensions in recent years, there are growing concerns that loan servicers may adopt a tougher stance, potentially leading to an increase in foreclosures.
The largest chunk of debt coming due is from Blackstone affiliates, totaling over $3 billion. Many borrowers are seeking extensions, but industry professionals anticipate a shift towards other types of debt resolutions. Lower property valuations, particularly in the office sector, are complicating matters, with some appraisals coming in at 40% less than the outstanding loan amounts. This situation is prompting bondholders to consider alternative strategies, such as discounted loan payoffs or loan splitting, to mitigate potential losses.